solana Analysis Thumbnail

Solana (SOL) Market Analysis: September 24, 2025

2025-09-23

Price

$214.76 2.43%

Summary

Accelerated institutional investor participation in the Solana ecosystem, evidenced by partnerships with Ripple, Forward Protocol, and Kazakhstan, strengthens its position in RWA tokenization and as a payment infrastructure. Meanwhile, broader market liquidation events and the decline of related stocks are key drivers of short-term volatility. The RSI reading of 24.6 indicates extremely oversold conditions, hinting at a potential rebound. The overall market bias is assessed as neutral to mildly bullish, underpinned by fundamental strength.

Fundamentals

## Cryptocurrency News Analysis: Impact on SOL Price ・Ripple's Stablecoin Added as Off-Ramp for BlackRock and VanEck Tokenized Funds The integration of Ripple USD Stablecoin (RLUSD) as an off-ramp for tokenized funds issued by BlackRock and VanEck represents a significant development expanding stablecoin use cases. This provides institutional investors with a streamlined pathway to convert tokenized assets back into fiat currency, potentially stimulating trading activity, especially on high-throughput blockchains like Solana. Solana may be adopted as the underlying technology for these institutional tokenized funds, anticipating increased capital inflows and transaction volume within the Solana ecosystem alongside RLUSD's adoption. ・Forward Industries to Tokenize NASDAQ-Listed Shares on Solana NASDAQ-listed company Forward Industries' plan to tokenize its corporate shares on the Solana blockchain suggests accelerating adoption of Solana for Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization. This underscores Solana's high-performance scalability and low transaction costs, proving suitable for tokenizing frequently traded assets like equities. This move is expected to incentivize more corporations to tokenize shares and other RWAs on Solana, thereby increasing network utilization and positively influencing the SOL price. ・Kazakhstan Partners with Solana and Mastercard to Launch Evo Stablecoin Kazakhstan's central bank collaborating with Solana and Mastercard to pilot a new stablecoin, "Evo (KZTE)," pegged to the national currency, indicates Solana's increasing adoption as infrastructure for national digital currency initiatives. The integration with Mastercard suggests potential future partnerships with major payment networks like Visa, possibly expanding payment use cases within the Solana ecosystem. This serves as a validation of Solana's technological capabilities and practicality, boosting ecosystem confidence and acting as a factor supporting SOL price stability and growth. ・AgriFORCE Pivots to Build AVAX Treasury, Stock Surges Over 200% The news that AgriFORCE Growing Systems is pivoting to an Avalanche (AVAX) based digital asset treasury model, rebranding as AVAX One, and aiming for a $550 million funding round highlights a trend of companies strategically committing to high-performance blockchain ecosystems. The substantial capital inflow into the Avalanche ecosystem and the consequent rise in demand for its native token, AVAX, could indirectly impact competing blockchains like Solana. Investors seeking similar yield opportunities are likely to turn their attention towards high-growth blockchain ecosystems such as Solana. ・BitMine Holds Over 2% of ETH Supply, Announces $365 Million Offering The announcement that BitMine Immersion Technologies holds over 2% of the total ETH supply and plans a $365 million financing round suggests a long-term commitment to Ethereum by major holders ("whales"), potentially acting as a stabilizing factor for the ETH price. Large-scale investments into the Ethereum ecosystem can improve overall market sentiment, potentially creating spillover effects on investor psychology towards other Layer 1 blockchains, particularly alternatives like Solana. There is also a perspective that Ethereum's growth fosters the maturation of the broader altcoin market. ・CleanSpark Secures $100 Million Bitcoin-Backed Loan, Gains 5% Bitcoin mining firm CleanSpark securing a $100 million loan collateralized by Bitcoin from Coinbase Prime indicates that mining companies are successfully raising operational capital to fund business expansion. This implies that Bitcoin's price is maintaining a certain level, enabling mining operations to remain profitable, thereby contributing to overall market stability. Stability in the Bitcoin market can positively impact the altcoin market, potentially driving capital inflows into assets like Solana. ・Crypto Asset Manager Proposes Reducing HYPE Supply by 45% The proposal to reduce the HYPE token supply is an effort to enhance the sustainability of its tokenomics, aiming to improve investor appeal. Such adjustments to token supply can influence market supply-demand dynamics. While supply adjustments for specific altcoins like HYPE may have limited impact on overall altcoin investment strategies, they signal a growing emphasis on robust tokenomics, suggesting that tokens within the Solana ecosystem might also undergo similar reviews. ・Cryptocurrency Liquidations Reach $1.8 Billion in One Day: Final Flush-Out or Further Decline? Liquidation volumes hitting $1.8 billion in a single day suggest the unwinding of excessive leveraged positions in the market, acting as a driver of short-term price volatility. Significant liquidations, particularly concentrated in Ethereum and Bitcoin, highlight heightened market-wide volatility. Such rapid price fluctuations can affect altcoin markets, including Solana, potentially exerting temporary downward pressure. However, the elimination of excessive leverage could pave the way for healthier price discovery in the medium to long term. ・Crypto Treasury Stocks Decline Amid Market Crash, with Some Exceptions The drop in stock prices of cryptocurrency-related companies during a market crash is linked to deteriorating sentiment across the broader crypto market. Specifically, declining Bitcoin prices directly impact the stock valuations of these firms. Solana-related equities are also subject to overall market sentiment, reacting sensitively to price movements in Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, innovative projects within the Solana ecosystem or substantial corporate investments into Solana could enable related stocks to exhibit relative strength even amidst a general market downturn. Overall Summary The deepening involvement of institutional and national-level entities with the Solana ecosystem—demonstrated by Ripple's stablecoin integration, Forward Industries' equity tokenization on Solana, and Kazakhstan's government partnership—reaffirms Solana's technological advantages and practical utility. This is expected to drive increased capital inflows and usage within the ecosystem. While market liquidations and the downturn in crypto-related stocks signal short-term volatility, the structural tailwinds supporting the Solana ecosystem are likely to serve as a key factor bolstering the SOL price in the medium to long term.

Chart Analysis

Technical Analysis

The RSI is at 24.6, deep in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short-term rebound. The MACD shows no crossover, indicating a neutral and directionless state for the current market. Trading within the Bollinger Bands suggests average volatility, with the price action consolidating near the recent lows.

Key Price Levels

The key support level is the recent low of $215. Failure to hold this level could trigger a drop towards the psychological support at $200. The resistance level is the recent high of $252. Breaking decisively above this resistance will require strong buying pressure. A break below $215 or a push above $225 will dictate the short-term directional move.

Risk Analysis

Solana faces the risk of short-term downward pressure stemming from broader market liquidation events (estimated at $1.8 billion) and declines in crypto-related stocks. The key support level is the recent low of $215; a break below this level could trigger further declines. A crucial factor to monitor will be whether positive fundamentals, such as the Kazakhstan partnership, can overcome the negative sentiment in the broader market.

Outlook

In the short term (24-48 hours), a minor rebound from RSI oversold conditions is anticipated, contingent upon overall market sentiment. Over the medium term (1 week), fundamentals such as progress in RWA (Real-World Assets) tokenization and national-level partnerships could act as catalysts for price appreciation. Key catalysts to monitor include specific developments from BlackRock and Forward Industries, as well as the announcement of new projects within the Solana ecosystem.

Conclusion

While Solana is currently contending with short-term market volatility and oversold conditions indicated by the RSI, its underlying fundamentals remain exceptionally robust. News surrounding Ripple's stablecoin integration, Forward Industries' tokenization of shares, and a national-level partnership with Kazakhstan signals Solana's strengthening position within the Real World Assets (RWA) domain and its potential as a foundational payment infrastructure. These inherent strengths are poised to transcend near-term market fluctuations, establishing a solid base for mid-to-long-term price appreciation. For investors, a prudent strategy involves considering entry points near the critical support level of $215. It is vital to implement stop-loss measures in case of a decisive break below this $215 mark, mitigating potential downside risk. Conversely, a confirmed move above $225, coupled with a positive shift in market sentiment and a bullish crossover on the MACD indicator, could present a compelling opportunity to enter long positions targeting the recent peak of $252. This week, the $215 and $252 price levels are strategic reference points, with the defense of $215 being paramount for sustaining short-term bullish momentum. Effective risk management necessitates continuous observation of the broader market, paying close attention to the price action of major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH. By maintaining conviction in Solana's strong fundamentals and applying disciplined market analysis, investors can position themselves to capitalize on its growth trajectory.

*This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Cryptocurrency investments carry high price volatility risks. Please make investment decisions at your own discretion and responsibility.