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Shiba Inu (SHIB) Market Analysis: October 4, 2025

2025-10-03

Price

$0.00001 0.49%

Summary

Key fundamental drivers include enhanced cryptocurrency accessibility via Samsung and Walmart, anticipation surrounding potential altcoin ETF approvals, and Nomura's expansion into the Japanese market. These developments could potentially foster indirect capital inflows into the broader market, including assets like SHIB. While technical indicators suggest a neutral stance, the fundamentals reinforce a positive bias. The overall market bias is neutral, yet harbors underlying bullish potential.

Fundamentals

Samsung expands direct cryptocurrency purchases in Galaxy Wallet Samsung's strengthened partnership with Coinbase within its Galaxy Wallet aims to simplify direct cryptocurrency purchases for mainstream consumers. This move is expected to attract new user segments and enhance overall market liquidity. The offering of Coinbase One to 75 million Galaxy users in the US, featuring benefits like zero trading fees, could act as a catalyst for increased trading activity. This represents a significant step towards wider adoption, potentially providing indirect benefits to altcoins such as SHIB. Walmart-affiliated banking app OnePay to add Bitcoin and Ethereum trading within the year Reports indicate that OnePay, the banking app affiliated with Walmart, plans to introduce trading and custody services for Bitcoin and Ethereum within the year. This move suggests that the trend of traditional financial institutions offering cryptocurrency services is now extending to major retail players. OnePay's strategy, aiming to become a "super app" similar to WeChat, could offer a novel financial experience integrating payments and investments, thereby promoting the everyday use of crypto assets. This is likely to increase interest in a diverse range of digital assets, including meme coins like SHIB. "Uptober" begins amidst US government shutdown, Brazil attracts Bitcoin miners As October begins, anticipated as the traditionally bullish month known as "Uptober," the US government shutdown is casting uncertainty over altcoin ETF applications. Meanwhile, Brazil's initiative to attract Bitcoin miners highlights how regional regulatory differences and incentives can influence the market. While ETF uncertainty poses a short-term risk, the expansion of mining hubs like those in Brazil could contribute to network decentralization and enhanced security, bolstering long-term market stability. Altcoin ETFs: SEC adopts new listing standards, making October a pivotal month The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is formulating new listing standards for altcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), with October marking the final deadline for 16 pending applications. This positions the altcoin market at a critical juncture. Potential approval for ETFs tracking assets such as Solana, XRP, and Litecoin could lead to a dramatic increase in institutional capital inflows. This event could serve as a catalyst, positively impacting market sentiment across the board, including indirectly benefiting altcoins like SHIB. UK restarts push for Apple iCloud backdoor, potentially threatening cryptocurrency wallet security The UK government is reportedly pressing Apple for access to a backdoor in iCloud, raising significant concerns regarding privacy and security. The security of cryptocurrency wallets is fundamental to protecting user assets, and the potential existence of such a backdoor could increase the risk of hacking and data breaches. This regulatory pressure to compromise user privacy runs counter to the core principles of decentralization, likely driving users to seek more secure wallet solutions. XRP price recovers to $3, potential for 40% surge in October XRP has recovered to $3, with projections suggesting a potential 40% rise within October. This price action is indicative of positive sentiment in the altcoin market, fueled by strong conviction among holders anticipating key decisions like ETF approvals. XRP's upward momentum could attract attention to other altcoins, particularly those offering infrastructure or platform value, and potentially provide room for assets like SHIB to rise by capitalizing on overall market momentum. Nomura aims to capture Japan's burgeoning institutional crypto market Nomura Holdings, via its Swiss subsidiary, aims to enter Japan's institutional cryptocurrency market, signaling both growing interest from Japanese institutional investors and a positive regulatory approach towards licensing. This move is expected to provide Japanese institutions with safer and more efficient access to digital assets, contributing to market maturation and credibility. It could also attract interest from global institutional investors in the Japanese market, potentially offering indirect benefits to assets like SHIB. Canaan's stock surges on 50,000 mining rig contract deal Canaan Inc.'s stock surged over 26% after securing a significant contract for 50,000 Bitcoin mining rigs. This development signals a recovery and growth phase for the Bitcoin mining industry, indicating rising demand for mining hardware manufacturers and suggesting improvements in mining profitability. Increased mining activity is expected to boost the network's hashrate, thereby strengthening Bitcoin network security and stability, which could positively impact Bitcoin's price and indirectly benefit altcoins like SHIB. BNB hits new all-time high of $1,111 amid user metric activation BNB, the native token of the BNB Chain, has recorded a new all-time high of $1,111, reflecting the growth of its ecosystem and strong market momentum driven by its integration with the Binance exchange. Supported by upgrade plans and the broader market rally, BNB's strength reinforces confidence in the entire Binance ecosystem. This positive trend is expected to stimulate investment interest in projects built on the BNB Chain and other tokens leveraging BNB, potentially extending a positive influence to altcoins like SHIB. CME Group expands to 24/7 cryptocurrency derivatives trading in 2026 Starting in 2026, CME Group plans to expand its cryptocurrency derivatives trading to operate 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. This move signifies further institutional participation in the crypto market and is expected to enhance market liquidity and efficiency. Enabling global investors to trade regardless of time zones will contribute to market stabilization and improve price discovery mechanisms, fostering a more predictable market environment. This stabilization in major derivatives markets is likely a positive signal for altcoins, including SHIB. Comprehensive Summary Overall, expanding institutional adoption, the acceleration of services from traditional financial institutions, and anticipation surrounding potential altcoin ETF approvals are collectively driving the broader cryptocurrency market. The adoption by major corporations like Samsung and Walmart, coupled with service expansions from established exchanges such as CME Group, bolsters market legitimacy and adoption, likely encouraging capital inflows into altcoins, including SHIB. However, regulatory developments and concerns over privacy issues remain key factors contributing to market volatility that require close monitoring.

Chart Analysis

Technical Analysis

The RSI at 62.6 is in the neutral zone, indicating limited signs of overbought conditions, but caution is warranted. The MACD lacks a crossover, suggesting a lack of clear directional trend or momentum. The price remains contained within the Bollinger Bands, indicating that current price action is within the normal range. The trend is neutral (strength 0.0); clear chart patterns cannot be identified, suggesting the market is likely in a ranging phase or a transitional period.

Key Price Levels

Specific support and resistance levels are not provided within the available market data. The current price vicinity should be considered preliminary support, with the recent high (unspecified) acting as the initial resistance. Breakout and breakdown levels require careful assessment based on overall market sentiment and the performance trends of major altcoins. Setting take-profit and stop-loss levels flexibly, according to individual risk tolerance and market volatility, is recommended.

Risk Analysis

The UK's push for iCloud backdoors poses a potential threat to the security of cryptocurrency wallets, raising privacy concerns. Uncertainty surrounding the ETF approval process due to a potential US government shutdown could also represent a short-term market risk factor. These regulatory and geopolitical factors could potentially increase market volatility. While significant support levels are not clearly defined, the area around the current price may serve as a temporary holding point.

Outlook

**Outlook** In the short term (24-48 hours), sideways movement or limited price fluctuations are expected, influenced by ETF-related news and adoption trends from major corporations. Over the medium term (1 week), a gradual upward trend may emerge, driven by building anticipation for ETF approvals, provided positive news continues. Key catalysts to watch include the SEC's final ETF decision, progress updates from Samsung/Walmart, and the performance of major altcoins such as XRP.

Conclusion

**Overall Assessment:** The SHIB market presents strong bullish fundamental factors, contrasted by neutral technicals, indicating latent upside potential. Increased adoption by major corporations such as Samsung and Walmart, alongside anticipation surrounding potential ETF approvals, are acting as key catalysts poised to drive institutional fund inflows. **Investment Strategy:** Given the current short-term consolidation phase, we recommend a prudent entry strategy around current price levels. A confirmed uptrend, signaled by key catalysts like ETF decisions or significant corporate announcements, should precede larger entries. Profit-taking targets should align with prevailing market momentum, while stop-loss orders should be strategically placed below the nearest support level to define risk. **Key Watchpoints & Closing:** ETF-related news remains the paramount focus this week. Vigilance regarding regulatory developments and market volatility is essential, coupled with diligent position sizing. Employing this strategic approach allows for navigating uncertainty and capitalizing on potential growth opportunities. Let's continue to invest strategically with a forward-looking perspective.

*This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Cryptocurrency investments carry high price volatility risks. Please make investment decisions at your own discretion and responsibility.