XRP nearing its all-time high (ATH), G7 coordination on stablecoin regulation, and Bitcoin's sustained bullish momentum indicate market resilience. However, caution is warranted regarding potential outflows driven by macroeconomic uncertainties. While the overall market bias remains neutral, positive catalysts are being closely monitored.

・XRP Potentially Closing Quarter Near All-Time High, Eyed for $15 Move XRP's potential quarterly close near its all-time high suggests improving market sentiment and the possibility of further upside. Similarities to the 2017 pattern evoke recollections of past bull markets and could attract institutional investor interest, potentially driving increased inflows into XRP and creating spillover effects for other altcoins. This could also foster overall market optimism, indirectly impacting DOT's price positively. ・G7 Nations Coordinate on Stablecoin Regulation, Considering National Currency-Pegged Options The G7 nations' deepening cooperation on stablecoin regulation is poised to enhance market transparency and stability. Notably, the potential acceptance of stablecoins pegged to national currencies could encourage diversification away from dollar dominance and foster the creation of diverse use cases. This would support the healthy growth of the broader decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem and boost confidence in other crypto assets, including DOT. Regulatory clarity is expected to lower barriers for institutional investors seeking to enter the DeFi space. ・Significant $812 Million Outflow from Digital Asset Funds, Solana an Exception Substantial outflows from digital asset funds indicate that macroeconomic uncertainty, particularly concerns surrounding US interest rate policy, is dampening investor sentiment. This creates short-term downward pressure across the market, potentially affecting DOT's price. However, Solana's ability to record inflows highlights ongoing selective capital allocation towards specific sectors or projects, suggesting DOT may have the potential to partially offset these outflows depending on its future prospects. ・Stablecoins See Over $46 Billion Net Inflow in Q3, Led by USDT and USDC The significant net inflows into stablecoins clearly demonstrate continued capital entering the cryptocurrency market during the third quarter. The dominance of Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC) in these inflows underscores the strong trust placed in these benchmark stablecoins. This suggests market participants remain willing to hold cryptocurrencies as risk assets, creating fertile ground for potential inflows into other digital assets, including DOT. ・Ethereum Option Expiries Contributing to Price Volatility Option expiries in the Ethereum market are poised to increase short-term price volatility. As traders adjust their positions around these dates, potential buying or selling pressure may emerge. This could influence DOT's price, especially during periods of high correlation with Ethereum. However, increased activity in the options market also enhances liquidity and enables more sophisticated risk management strategies. ・SEC's Final Decision on 16 Crypto ETFs Awaited in October, Including Solana and XRP The SEC's final decision regarding 16 digital asset ETFs, expected in October, could significantly impact the broader market. Approvals for ETFs covering a variety of altcoins, such as Solana (SOL) and XRP (XRP), would substantially improve institutional access to these assets and potentially accelerate inflows. This could generate positive sentiment for other altcoins like DOT, potentially heightening anticipation for their own ETF approvals. ・Bitcoin Surpassing $112,000 Suggests Continued Bull Market Bitcoin's move above $112,000 validates analysts' views that the bull market remains intact despite short-term corrections. This development is expected to improve overall market sentiment, positively influencing other cryptocurrencies, particularly altcoins like DOT. Bitcoin's price stability and upward trajectory could serve as a catalyst for institutional investors to increase their overall exposure to the digital asset market. Overall Summary XRP's strong quarterly closing outlook, coordinated stablecoin regulations by G7 nations, and selective inflows into Solana signal market resilience and diverse growth opportunities. Conversely, significant outflows from crypto funds indicate that macroeconomic uncertainty remains a headwind for the market, necessitating caution regarding short-term volatility. The SEC's final decisions on numerous digital asset ETFs in October are poised to be a key event shaping the market's future trajectory.

Substantial outflows of $812 million from cryptocurrency funds suggest macroeconomic risks driven by concerns over US interest rate policy. This could exert short-term selling pressure across the broader market. The key support level is identified around the recent low of $4; a break below this level requires caution.

Short-term (24-48 hours): Volatility is expected, driven by the conflicting signals of positive stablecoin inflows and negative fund outflows. Mid-term (1 week): Final ETF decisions in October and macroeconomic indicators will be the key catalysts dictating market direction.

The DOT market is showing resilience, supported by positive fundamental catalysts such as XRP approaching its all-time high levels, coordinated G7 stablecoin regulations, and selective capital inflows into Solana. Expectations for the growth of the DeFi ecosystem could further strengthen DOT's fundamentals. However, significant fund outflows totaling $812 million, driven by macroeconomic uncertainties (specifically US interest rate concerns), indicate short-term volatility risks, necessitating caution. While Bitcoin's ongoing bull market supports overall market sentiment, the spillover effect into altcoins is likely to remain selective. The SEC's final decisions regarding the 16 cryptocurrency ETFs in October represent the most critical event shaping the future market direction. Approval could potentially enhance institutional investor access and accelerate capital inflows into altcoins, including DOT. Technical analysis shows a lack of clear trend, with the RSI at 57.5 (neutral territory), the MACD exhibiting no crossover, and the Bollinger Bands indicating consolidation within the bands. The market continues to trade within a range around the $4 mark. **Investment Strategy:** Maintain a "Neutral" bias currently, prioritizing risk management. * **Entry:** Consider buying on pullbacks between $4.00-$4.10, or initiating long positions after confirming a breakout above $4.20. Implement stop-losses below $3.80. * **Take-Profit:** Target short-term gains between $4.30-$4.40, and mid-term targets ranging from $4.60-$5.00, contingent on ETF approvals. * **Risk Management:** Limit exposure to 1-2% of the portfolio. Ensure strict adherence to limit orders and stop-losses during key events like SEC decisions or the release of US economic data. This week warrants close attention to the SEC decisions and US economic indicators. These catalysts have the potential to trigger a market breakout and establish a new trend. Calmly analyzing the market, managing risks, and identifying precise entry points are key to maximizing profits during this period. Approach investments with a realistic strategy while maintaining optimism.