From a fundamental perspective, the expansion of ETF options is bolstering institutional inflows, while geopolitical risks and large-scale liquidations are weighing on market sentiment. Amid growing interest in the convergence of AI and blockchain, PEPE finds itself navigating the intersection of short-term volatility and long-term potential. The overall market bias is neutral, though caution is warranted regarding key risk factors.

October 11, 2025 - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing price fluctuations and mixed expectations for future developments driven by several significant news events. Today, we extract 5-10 key pieces of news that could particularly impact the price of PEPE, providing an institutional-grade analysis. * Expansion of Bitcoin ETF Options Trading in the US The SEC's regulatory easing is expected to further facilitate institutional entry into the Bitcoin market. The expansion of options trading is anticipated to enhance market liquidity and mitigate volatility. This serves as an incentive for increased capital inflow into the Bitcoin market, acting as a supportive factor for mid-to-long-term price appreciation. Altcoins like PEPE may also benefit indirectly from the improved overall sentiment in the Bitcoin market. * Crypto.com CEO Requests Regulatory Probe into Exchanges Following $20 Billion Liquidation Event Following a record $20 billion in cryptocurrency liquidations over the past 24 hours, the CEO of Crypto.com has called for regulatory scrutiny of exchanges. This move heightens concerns regarding market transparency and fairness, potentially triggering short-term price volatility. In markets with significant leverage, such liquidation events carry the risk of initiating cascading declines. Altcoins such as PEPE could face capital outflows due to risk aversion. * Deterioration of Market Sentiment Following President Trump's Announcement of 100% Tariffs on China Market sentiment in the cryptocurrency space rapidly shifted towards "fear" after US President Donald Trump announced 100% tariffs on China. This has amplified investor concerns about geopolitical risks and macroeconomic uncertainty. This sentiment deterioration is likely to encourage capital flight from risk assets in general, potentially exerting significant downward pressure on speculative altcoins like PEPE. * Galaxy Digital Raises $460 Million to Convert Texas Bitcoin Mining Facilities into AI Data Centers The $460 million capital raise by Mike Novogratz's Galaxy Digital to convert former Bitcoin mining facilities in Texas into AI data centers signals the progressing convergence of AI and blockchain technologies. This initiative involves substantial investment in related infrastructure amidst heightened activity in the AI sector, boosting long-term growth expectations for the technology sector. PEPE, as an AI-related memecoin, might indirectly benefit from this trend. * Projection of Increased Institutional Allocation to Digital Assets to 16% by 2028 According to a State Street report, institutional investors are expanding their investments in digital assets, with projections indicating allocation reaching 16% of portfolios by 2028. This signifies the gradual recognition of digital assets, particularly cryptocurrencies, as traditional asset classes. Such sustained institutional engagement is expected to foster overall market stabilization and growth, potentially leading to more stable capital inflows for altcoins like PEPE. * Continued Weekly Inflows of $2.71 Billion into Bitcoin ETFs The persistent, substantial weekly inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs demonstrate strong institutional demand. This serves as evidence of Bitcoin increasingly establishing its position as "digital gold" and indicates the overall health of the market. Altcoins like PEPE are expected to experience a positive spillover effect from the improved sentiment surrounding the broader Bitcoin market. * Bitcoin's Sharp Drop to $103K and Subsequent Market Dynamics Bitcoin's temporary plunge to $103,000 starkly highlighted the market's high volatility, influenced by the preceding sharp decline and liquidation events, causing temporary panic among market participants. This sharp drop could impose cascading downward pressure on altcoins like PEPE. However, indications of support buying from large investors, referred to as "sharks," suggest the possibility of a future rebound. * Texas Bill Suggests Ethereum Could Become the Next Reserve Asset Texas's passage of a bill regarding Bitcoin as a reserve asset implies the potential for other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, to be recognized as reserve assets in the future. This indicates advancing state-level recognition of cryptocurrencies as assets, which is particularly positive news for Ethereum. As an Ethereum-based memecoin, PEPE could benefit from the overall development of the Ethereum ecosystem. * Warning of 80% Bitcoin Decline Amid Rising Correlation with Nvidia Stock With the correlation between Bitcoin and Nvidia stock rising to 0.75, its highest level in a year, a warning has been issued regarding an 80% potential decline for Bitcoin. This high correlation suggests Bitcoin could be significantly influenced by the dynamics of the AI bubble. Should the AI sector enter a correction phase, Bitcoin, and consequently AI-related memecoins like PEPE, could be substantially impacted. Overall Summary: The cryptocurrency market today presents a complex interplay of factors, including positive news such as the expansion of ETF options trading in the US and increasing institutional allocation to digital assets, contrasted with negative sentiment drivers like President Trump's tariff announcement, major liquidation events, and warnings of decline linked to the rising correlation with Nvidia stock. While these factors are likely to cause short-term volatility for altcoins like PEPE, long-term trends such as increased institutional adoption and the convergence of AI and blockchain technology may support overall market growth. Future market movements will be significantly influenced by macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and the price stability of the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin.

Geopolitical risks stemming from President Trump's tariff announcement, coupled with a $20 billion liquidation event, could shift market sentiment towards 'fear,' potentially triggering outflows from risk assets like PEPE. The increasing correlation with Nvidia stock suggests a risk of cascading downturns should the AI bubble burst. While key support levels are difficult to identify, vigilance is warranted against a deterioration in overall market sentiment.

Over the short-term (24-48 hours), expect high volatility as the potential for a rebound from RSI oversold conditions competes with downward pressure stemming from macroeconomic and geopolitical risks. In the medium-term (1 week), sustained inflows into ETFs and the convergence of AI and blockchain technologies will be key factors determining market support. Key catalysts to monitor include developments in US-China relations and regulatory actions.

The PEPE market faces significant uncertainty, marked by a confluence of expectations regarding ETF expansion, geopolitical risks, and large-scale liquidations. While the RSI indicates oversold conditions, macroeconomic concerns continue to exert downward pressure. The market bias is assessed as "cautiously neutral." Given the price hovering near zero, specific entry/exit points are not discernible. However, Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) and robust risk management are paramount. Potential for short-term bounces exists, while the long-term convergence of AI and blockchain technology presents positive catalysts. Key watchpoints this week include US-China relations, regulatory developments, and Bitcoin's trajectory. Maintaining rational judgment and disciplined execution remains crucial.