Overall judgment: Neutral. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, Bitcoin's (BTC) resilience, and the integration of AI with stablecoins suggest potential upside for PEPE. Technically, the absence of a clear trend, with RSI and MACD indicating neutral conditions, points to continued consolidation within the current range.

## Cryptocurrency News Analysis and its Impact on PEPE Price Today's cryptocurrency market is being influenced by a diverse range of factors, including macroeconomic indicators, regulatory trends, technological innovations, and the activities of key players. Particularly noteworthy are the U.S. Federal Reserve's (FRB) monetary policy decisions, the UK Financial Conduct Authority's (FCA) new regulatory proposals, and the convergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and blockchain technology. This analysis examines how these developments may impact the price of PEPE, a popular meme coin. ・Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut Expectations and Bitcoin Price As the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its policy rate decision on Wednesday, market anticipation for an interest rate cut is escalating. Monetary easing typically encourages capital inflow into risk assets, potentially exerting a positive influence on the overall cryptocurrency market. Historical data suggests that Bitcoin, in particular, tends to experience price appreciation during periods of interest rate reduction. An increase in Bitcoin's price could improve overall market sentiment, potentially boosting investment appetite for higher-risk meme coins like PEPE. However, if the anticipated rate cut fails to materialize, the resulting market disappointment could trigger a temporary price decline. ・UK FCA's Proposed Crypto Regulations: Balancing Innovation and Stability The UK Financial Conduct Authority's (FCA) announcement of new regulatory proposals, aimed at establishing minimum standards for crypto firms, holds the potential to enhance market transparency and credibility. Regulatory clarity is expected to facilitate institutional investor participation and contribute to long-term market stability. Conversely, excessively stringent regulations could potentially stifle innovation. While meme coins like PEPE may not directly benefit from these regulations, an overall improvement in market health could indirectly prove favorable. Monitoring regulatory developments is crucial as they influence investor risk tolerance. ・Integration of AI and Stablecoins: Google's Open-Source Protocol Google's recent unveiling of an open-source protocol for AI-driven payments, incorporating support for stablecoins, signals new avenues for blockchain technology utilization. The integration of AI and payments could expand the use cases for cryptocurrencies, potentially driving wider adoption among diverse user groups. Increased interest in stablecoins might indirectly benefit altcoins such as PEPE. Furthermore, advancements in AI-related use cases can heighten expectations for technological innovation, thereby positively influencing overall market sentiment. ・Surge in Ethereum's Unstaking Queue The significant increase in Ethereum's unstaking queue, reaching record levels with a 44-day waiting period, suggests that some investors may be moving to realize profits. While this could lead to short-term selling pressure on Ethereum, reports also indicate a rise in strategic reserves, such as those held by ETF issuers, potentially mitigating concerns about a large-scale sell-off. As PEPE operates on the Ethereum network, fluctuations in Ethereum's price and the network's overall health can affect PEPE. Any materialization of concerns regarding Ethereum's liquidity could impact PEPE's transactions. ・Bitcoin's September Price Movement and Potential for All-Time Highs Bitcoin's 8% rise in September, marking its strongest performance for the month since 2012, indicates a robust bullish sentiment in the market. If this momentum continues, the possibility of surpassing previous all-time highs emerges, further bolstering optimistic market outlooks. Bitcoin's price increases tend to strengthen the overall risk-on mood, encouraging investment in highly volatile assets like PEPE. Bull markets, in particular, often create favorable conditions for meme coins. ・MetaPlanet Expands Bitcoin Strategy: Establishing US and Japanese Operations MetaPlanet's strengthening of its Bitcoin strategy through the establishment of subsidiaries in the United States and Japan suggests growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin. The trend of companies utilizing Bitcoin as a treasury asset enhances the credibility of the cryptocurrency market and could attract new capital inflows. This represents an indirect positive factor for altcoins like PEPE. The increasing prevalence of corporate Bitcoin holdings can also serve as an indicator of the cryptocurrency market's overall maturation. ・Strong Performance of Bitcoin Mining Stocks: Driven by AI Expectations The outperformance of Bitcoin mining stocks relative to Bitcoin is reportedly driven by expectations surrounding increased investment in Artificial Intelligence (AI). Heightened interest in AI-related technologies is accelerating capital inflows into mining companies. Given the significant technological synergy between AI and cryptocurrency, a continuation of this trend could offer indirect benefits to altcoins like PEPE. Growth in the AI sector generally boosts investment appetite for technology, potentially casting a positive shadow over the broader crypto market. ・Coinbase's Request to SEC: Intervention in State-Level Enforcement Coinbase's petition to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requesting federal intervention regarding enforcement actions against crypto firms at the state level highlights the complexities within the cryptocurrency industry's regulatory landscape. Regulatory uncertainty can negatively impact investor sentiment. While meme coins like PEPE may not be directly regulated, greater clarity in the overall regulatory framework could lead to market stabilization, offering indirect positive effects. ・Santander's Openbank Launches Crypto Trading in Germany The launch of cryptocurrency trading services in Germany by Openbank, a subsidiary of Santander, signifies an acceleration of involvement from traditional financial institutions in the crypto market. This move is expected to promote broader adoption of cryptocurrencies among the general public and enhance market trustworthiness. The entry of major banks could potentially increase interest in meme coins like PEPE and contribute to improved overall market liquidity. 【Overall Summary】 The cryptocurrency market today exhibits strong bullish sentiment, primarily led by Bitcoin, driven by expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. While the UK FCA's proposed regulations aim for long-term market stabilization, the enhanced integration of AI and stablecoins signals an expansion of new use cases. These factors are likely to improve overall market liquidity and credibility, potentially stimulating investment interest in meme coins like PEPE indirectly. However, continued vigilance is necessary regarding regulatory developments and macroeconomic uncertainties, necessitating caution against short-term volatility.

Potential downside risks include waning expectations of Fed rate cuts, excessive regulatory tightening, liquidity concerns stemming from Ethereum unstaking, and the inherent volatility of meme coins. While specific support levels are unclear, the current price range may serve as psychological support.

In the short term (24-48 hours), trading is expected to remain range-bound, correlating with the movements of Bitcoin and macroeconomic indicators. Over the medium term (approximately one week), Federal Reserve policy decisions and regulatory developments are poised to serve as significant catalysts, with PEPE's performance potentially influenced by broader market sentiment.

**Conclusion** The overall assessment is **Neutral**. Speculation surrounding potential Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, the robust performance of Bitcoin (BTC), and the synergy between AI and stablecoins suggest potential upside for PEPE. Technically, however, there is no clear trend, with indicators like the RSI and MACD signaling neutrality, anticipating continued consolidation within the current range. Downside risks include potential disappointment regarding Fed policy, regulatory uncertainties, liquidity concerns stemming from Ethereum (ETH) unstaking, and the inherent volatility associated with memecoins. PEPE should be considered a high-risk, speculative asset. The recommended strategy is primarily **"Wait-and-See,"** pending clear technical signals like a breakout or an improvement in market sentiment. Entries should be considered cautiously upon breakout confirmation or during periods of strong positive market momentum, aligned with individual risk tolerance. Establishing and strictly adhering to a stop-loss level (e.g., below support or a 10-15% loss) is crucial. This week, close attention should be paid to Fed policy developments, regulatory trends, and BTC price action, aiming to align with prevailing market flows. Prioritize risk management, strategically capture opportunities through planned investments, and maintain a proactive analytical approach.