Diversifying entry channels for newcomers may heighten interest in Dogecoin, while expanding adoption in countries such as Singapore and the UAE could further drive demand. However, the increasing difficulty in establishing a value proposition in the age of AI presents challenges to its long-term sustainability. Market bias is neutral.

・Web3 Launchpads Fund Ideas Over Products Launchpads are noted to be deviating from their original purpose, becoming venues focused on short-term profit. This leads to markets flooded with projects lacking sufficient development and the foundational infrastructure for long-term success. This trend can encourage meme coins like Dogecoin and nascent altcoin projects to prioritize initial hype over sustainability, resulting in a proliferation of low-quality projects and raising concerns regarding investor protection. For community-driven projects such as Dogecoin, discerning genuine, value-driven development becomes increasingly critical. ・Singapore and UAE Lead in Crypto Enthusiasm A report by ApeX Protocol identifies Singapore and the UAE as global leaders in cryptocurrency interest. Singapore boasts 24.4% crypto ownership among its population and leads worldwide in related search activity. This suggests the effectiveness of regulatory easing and adoption promotion measures within these nations. Growing demand in such progressive markets may boost investor interest in altcoins like Dogecoin. Capital inflows from these countries or their potential support for community-driven projects like Dogecoin could positively influence its price. ・Stocks vs. Bitcoin in the AI Era: Survival Prospects Over 50 Years Amidst AI's evolution reshaping labor markets and economic structures, the future viability of both the stock market and Bitcoin is under scrutiny. Stocks associated with AI-driven growth sectors—such as robotics, biotechnology, and space exploration—are posited as likely survivors. Bitcoin's future, conversely, hinges on its capacity to demonstrate "intrinsic value." This analysis suggests cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, face a critical challenge: transitioning from speculative assets to establishing themselves as credible alternative assets within future economic systems. Altcoins like Dogecoin, requiring further proof of utility and technological advancement compared to Bitcoin, may encounter a significantly higher threshold for value validation in this AI-centric era. ・Hidden Factors in Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Swings: Options Expiry Options expiry events impact Bitcoin and Ethereum price fluctuations by influencing trader profit-taking, loss reduction, and position restructuring. The Put/Call Ratio serves as an indicator of market sentiment, while Max Pain theory posits that prices may converge towards levels where the largest number of contracts expire worthless. This dynamic carries the potential to amplify market manipulation risks. While Dogecoin possesses a less developed options market compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum, major expiry events for these leading cryptocurrencies can indirectly affect Dogecoin's price by shaping overall market sentiment. A widespread risk-off mood, in particular, heightens the risk of capital flight from speculative assets like Dogecoin. ・Cathie Wood Sees Early Solana Echoes in Hyperliquid Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, is spotlighting Hyperliquid, a Layer 1 blockchain, likening it to "early Solana." Considering Solana's journey in proving its value and achieving prominence, Wood suggests significant potential for Hyperliquid. This observation highlights a growing interest in high-performance, scalable blockchain technologies. For Dogecoin, whose technical infrastructure is less advanced than contemporary blockchains like Solana, increased focus on such cutting-edge innovations could potentially reduce its relative attractiveness. Conversely, the possibility of a re-evaluation exists should the Dogecoin community embrace technological advancements. ・Merchants Embracing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP As of 2025, fast-food chains like Starbucks and Sheetz, alongside tech firms like Microsoft and retailers such as Home Depot, are accepting cryptocurrency payments through apps and third-party processors. The utility of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP is also expanding in travel and flight bookings, with luxury brands and real estate developers increasingly integrating crypto payments. This trend highlights the growing practical application and adoption of major cryptocurrencies. Dogecoin, buoyed by its status as an "internet meme" and specific use cases as a payment method, has the potential to benefit from this broader adoption wave. If more merchants and service providers actively integrate Dogecoin payments, it could significantly contribute to its price appreciation. ・Samson Mow Predicts 'Sudden' Phase for National Bitcoin Adoption Samson Mow, founder of Jan3, asserts that many nations are poised to accelerate Bitcoin adoption, overcoming earlier skepticism. He forecasts a transition of the adoption process from a "gradual" phase to a "sudden" one. This indicates a potential move towards incorporating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by nation-states. Large-scale governmental Bitcoin acquisitions could significantly decrease market supply, potentially serving as a powerful catalyst for price increases. Although Dogecoin holds a distinct position compared to Bitcoin, increased national interest in the broader cryptocurrency space could improve overall market sentiment, thereby stimulating investment in altcoins like Dogecoin. ・Bitcoin is Just One Retail Entry Point into Crypto A CoinGecko survey indicates that only 55% of new cryptocurrency owners started with Bitcoin, with 10% having never purchased it at all. This points towards market maturity and increasing interest in altcoins and newer trends beyond Bitcoin. Should altcoins like Dogecoin offer a more attractive initial investment proposition for newcomers compared to Bitcoin, it could drive capital inflows. As the market diversifies and accommodates a wider range of investor needs, Dogecoin's community strength and cultural resonance ("hype") may become significant hooks for new participants. Overall Summary The cryptocurrency market is at a critical juncture, tasked with proving both technological advancement and practical utility, influenced by factors such as the nature of assets in the AI era, accelerating national Bitcoin adoption, and evolving retail entry pathways. Increased demand from crypto-enthusiast regions like Singapore and the UAE, alongside the growing utility of major cryptocurrencies, has the potential to bolster overall market sentiment. Conversely, the current state of launchpads and the influence of options market expiration cycles necessitate vigilance against market volatility and potential manipulation risks. For altcoins like Dogecoin, demonstrating sustained community strength and functional utility amidst these macro trends will be indispensable for achieving long-term price appreciation.

Deterioration in launchpad quality and challenges in establishing value in the age of AI represent fundamental risks to Dogecoin's sustainability. Deterioration in overall market sentiment associated with major options expirations could trigger capital outflows from risk assets. The key support level is located near the bottom of the recent range.

**Outlook:** In the short-term (24-48 hours), based on current technical indicators, continued minor fluctuations within a range are expected. For the mid-term (1 week), developments in Singapore and the UAE, alongside accelerated national-level Bitcoin adoption, could serve as positive catalysts. However, caution is needed regarding potential deterioration in overall market sentiment. Given the prevailing low volatility, significant breakouts are unlikely in the near term.

The Dogecoin market is currently range-bound, characterized by neutral technical indicators and mixed fundamentals reflecting both opportunities for wider adoption and challenges in demonstrating its value proposition. The market bias is neutral. The recommended investment strategy is to wait for a clear directional move. Consider entries near support levels or buying on a confirmed breakout above resistance. Implement strict risk management by setting take-profit targets at resistance and stop-loss orders below support. The upper and lower boundaries of the range are key levels to monitor this week. While community strength and diversified retail participation offer potential, enhancing the coin's practical utility is critical. Be cautious of rising volatility in major cryptocurrencies and maintain a prudent approach.