The partnership between SWIFT and Consensys signals traditional finance's adoption of blockchain technology, reinforcing LINK's role as key infrastructure. The G7's clarification on stablecoin regulations may boost institutional inflows and foster DeFi growth. Amid concerns over significant outflows, the recovery of BTC and bullish factors for XRP are underpinning market resilience. Overall market bias: Neutral.

Based on the previous day's cryptocurrency news digest as of September 29, 2025, this analysis assesses the potential impact on the price of LINK. * XRP Nears Record Quarterly Close, Potential Surge to $15 XRP is reportedly approaching a record quarterly close, reminiscent of its 2017 surge of up to 37,800% based on historical patterns. On-chain data supports this outlook, showing no signs of capitulation in the MVRV Z-Score or mid-tier holder behavior. Analysts suggest this situation could catalyze a rally towards $15. While XRP's price trajectory is heavily influenced by the progress of the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit and technological developments within the XRP Ledger, this news indicates heightened interest in the XRP ecosystem and improving investor sentiment. This could indirectly benefit other altcoins, particularly those closely linked to Ripple or possessing similar technological features, as well as infrastructure-related tokens like LINK. Market participants will likely monitor XRP's performance as a potential leading indicator for other major altcoins. * G7 Nations Advance Stablecoin Regulation G7 nations are moving forward with stablecoin regulation, with the US enacting new legislation, the EU implementing MiCA regulations, and Japan establishing its operational framework. Although the market has been dominated by dollar-pegged tokens like Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC), the introduction of stablecoins pegged to national currencies is also advancing. The G7's push for regulation is part of a broader global trend. Regulatory clarity may encourage institutional investors to perceive stablecoins as safer assets, potentially facilitating their market entry. The widespread adoption of USDT and USDC enhances overall liquidity in the cryptocurrency market, strengthening the foundation for crypto trading. Infrastructure providers like LINK could benefit from this overall market growth and increased liquidity. Notably, the proliferation of regulated stablecoins could boost the growth of the DeFi ecosystem, thereby increasing demand for infrastructure solutions such as those provided by LINK. * Massive Outflows from Crypto Funds Last week, cryptocurrency investment products failed to sustain inflow momentum amid declining spot prices. According to CoinShares, global crypto Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) experienced outflows totaling $812 million in the week ending Friday, halting a two-week trend of inflows. Assets Under Management (AUM) decreased from a record $241 billion the previous week to $221 billion. This is largely attributed to waning confidence in potential US interest rate cuts. These substantial outflows signal a deterioration in overall market sentiment and an increasing risk-averse stance among investors. Concerns arise regarding downward pressure on Bitcoin and major altcoins in the short term. For projects like LINK, which are sensitive to broader market sentiment, short-term outflows pose a risk of price depreciation. However, in the long term, projects with strong fundamentals may recover from such short-term market disruptions, potentially presenting opportunities for accumulation at lower prices. * Poland Pushes Strict Crypto Bill, Facing Public Opposition Polish lawmakers have approved a bill to regulate the crypto-asset market, introducing significant restrictions and establishing a dedicated supervisory authority. The lower house of parliament, the Sejm, passed the Crypto-Asset Market Act bill on Friday by a majority vote, sending it to the Senate for review. Bill 1424 introduces a licensing regime for Crypto-Asset Service Providers (CASPs), aligning Polish regulations with those of the European Union (EU). The enhanced crypto regulation in Poland reflects the broader trend towards regulatory harmonization across the EU. Regulatory clarity could lower entry barriers for institutional investors prioritizing compliance into the Polish market. However, the stringent nature of the bill might curtail operational flexibility for certain crypto businesses and users. For infrastructure providers like LINK, while the need for regulatory compliance increases, a well-regulated market could foster more stable long-term growth. * Bitcoin Recovers Above $112,000; Bull Market Intact, Analysts Assert Bitcoin analysts maintain that the bull market remains intact following its recovery above $112,000 on Monday, after experiencing significant volatility over the preceding week. Bitcoin (BTC) struggled to gain upward momentum over the past week, with analysts noting signs of investor fatigue; a sharp decline last week triggered two major liquidation events in the broader crypto market. In early trading Monday, Bitcoin reached a 24-hour high of $112,293, surpassing the $112,000 mark for the first time since the sharp downturn. Bitcoin's price recovery positively influences overall market sentiment. Specifically, the view that Bitcoin has broken key resistance levels and that the bull market persists serves as a tailwind for other altcoins, particularly projects like LINK. Investors will be watching Bitcoin's movements closely to assess whether its resilience can reignite confidence among other market participants. * SWIFT Partners with Consensys to Build Blockchain Payment System The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) is collaborating with Consensys, an Ethereum ecosystem developer, to build a blockchain-based payment system. According to an announcement on Monday, SWIFT is working with over 30 financial institutions and Consensys to develop the blockchain, initially focusing on building infrastructure for "24/7 real-time cross-border payments." One of the objectives for the new blockchain is interoperability. The partnership between SWIFT and Consensys marks a significant step in integrating traditional financial infrastructure with blockchain technology. This integration is expected to enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and improve transparency in cross-border payments. Decentralized infrastructure providers like LINK could benefit from the adoption of blockchain technology by traditional financial institutions. Collaboration with established giants like SWIFT could accelerate the adoption of blockchain technology, potentially creating opportunities to expand LINK's use cases. * Solana Poised for Increased Speed with New Proposal from Firedancer Developers Web3 infrastructure firm Jump Crypto has proposed removing Solana's computational block limits to enhance network performance and encourage validators with suboptimal hardware to upgrade. Jump, which is developing Solana's high-performance Firedancer validator client, is pushing for the implementation of the SIMD-0370 proposal following the Alpenglow upgrade. Alpenglow itself was approved for deployment via a near-unanimous vote earlier this month. Performance enhancements on the Solana network are expected to invigorate its entire ecosystem. A faster and more efficient blockchain appeals to developers and users, fostering the adoption of dApps. LINK could directly benefit from these performance improvements in providing infrastructure on high-speed blockchains like Solana. Reduced network latency and increased transaction processing capabilities would enhance the quality of LINK's service delivery and promote broader adoption. Overall Summary The previous day's crypto market showed signs of progress in individual projects, such as XRP's potential rally, clarification of stablecoin regulations by G7 nations, and the development of a blockchain payment system by SWIFT and Consensys, alongside advancements in the regulatory landscape. On the other hand, significant outflows from crypto funds introduced short-term concerns for overall market sentiment, although Bitcoin's recovery maintained expectations of a continuing bull market. Collectively, these developments suggest a dual impact for infrastructure projects like LINK: expanded growth opportunities within a regulated environment and accelerated adoption of blockchain technology.

The primary risk stems from significant outflows from cryptocurrency funds, suggesting investor risk aversion and a potential market downturn. While fundamentals are positive, regulatory implementation could pose unforeseen challenges. Breaking above the upper Bollinger Band suggests potential for a short-term correction. Key support levels are found near the psychological $20 mark and recent lows.

**Outlook** **Short-term (24-48 hours):** Volatility is expected amid a balance between significant capital outflows and positive fundamental factors. A cautious approach is recommended. **Medium-term (1 week):** Should the sustained recovery of BTC and the SWIFT partnership gain traction, LINK could exhibit bullish momentum, potentially targeting recent highs. **Key Catalysts:** BTC strength, institutional adoption, DeFi growth, regulatory developments.

The outlook for Chainlink (LINK) remains cautiously optimistic. While crossing the upper Bollinger Band suggests upward momentum, neutral RSI and MACD readings warrant caution regarding potential pullbacks. Fundamentally, the partnership with SWIFT and regulatory clarity from the G7 serve as strong tailwinds, poised to drive institutional inflow and DeFi expansion for LINK. Despite significant outflows posing a short-term risk, the overall bias remains neutral to slightly bullish. **Strategy:** Seek buying opportunities near the support zone around $21. A decisive break above $23.50 could trigger further upside towards the $25.00-$26.00 range. Implement stop-losses below $20.00. Prioritize risk management by closely monitoring Bitcoin's price action and overall market sentiment. Employ disciplined entries to capture the upside potential stemming from accelerating blockchain adoption.