Significant investments in AI infrastructure and stricter EU privacy regulations are driving interest in decentralized solutions. While expectations of macroeconomic liquidity injections offer a positive outlook, regulatory uncertainty poses a headwind to growth. The market bias is Neutral, as these factors balance each other out.

・Nasdaq-Listed Flora Growth Invests $401 Million in Zero Gravity (0G), Focusing on AI Infrastructure The expanding application of blockchain technology in the AI infrastructure sector is expected to drive capital inflow into related projects, potentially boosting the value of the 0G token. Flora Growth's rebranding and operations as ZeroStack could promote the adoption of decentralized AI infrastructure, thereby enhancing the overall credibility of the blockchain industry in the long run. This move suggests the emergence of new investment opportunities amid the growing convergence of AI and blockchain, potentially offering indirect benefits to platform tokens like APT. ・APEX Surges Sevenfold from $226,000 to $7 Million Amid ASTER Swap Rally The extreme price surge observed in a specific token (APEX) highlights the speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market. While such rallies can yield substantial profits for some investors, they can also contribute to increased market-wide volatility. Although there is little direct correlation with the price of foundational platforms like APT, it may temporarily boost overall market sentiment. However, such cases often lack sustainability, and their spillover effects on the real economy are typically limited. ・Cryptocurrencies Cannot Wait for Regulatory Perfection Regulatory uncertainty appears to be hindering the expansion of the tokenized assets market. The current market size, significantly smaller than projected, indicates a challenging environment for institutional investor participation, potentially impacting the long-term growth of projects like APT. The delayed response from regulatory bodies carries the risk of stifling innovation, making the early establishment of a clear regulatory framework essential for the healthy development of the market and the adoption of projects like APT. ・BNB Rises 10% Despite Sluggish Weekend Trading, Potential for $1,250-$1,565 Year-End Rally BNB's standalone bullish price action suggests confidence in the Binance ecosystem, potentially driven by specific fundamental factors (e.g., announcements of new use cases). Similarly, APT could potentially form a similar standalone upward trend if it successfully enhances its platform functionalities and expands its partnerships. BNB's price movement also serves as an indicator of how projects on the Binance Smart Chain (BSC) are perceived by the market, potentially creating indirect positive sentiment for APT. ・EU's 'Chat Control' Law Could Steer Users Towards 'Web3 Alternatives' Strengthened privacy regulations in the EU may amplify distrust in centralized platforms, thereby increasing interest in decentralized Web3 solutions. This presents an opportunity for decentralized platforms like APT to attract new user segments. The heightened awareness regarding privacy protection could drive demand for decentralized identity and secure communication protocols, potentially expanding APT's use cases. ・Ethereum Co-founder Vitalik Buterin Suggests Low-Risk DeFi Could Support Ethereum Like Google Search The view that low-risk DeFi can bring economic stability to the Ethereum ecosystem indicates healthy growth for the DeFi sector overall. APT's value and stability will be significantly influenced by the role it plays within the DeFi space. If Ethereum's successful model is considered, APT may similarly contribute to ecosystem growth and token price stability by offering sustainable, low-risk DeFi services. ・Binance Co-founder Changpeng Zhao's YZi Labs Increases Investment in Stablecoin Issuer Ethena YZi Labs' increased investment in Ethena signals expectations for growth in the stablecoin market, particularly for USDe. By strengthening its integration with stablecoins like USDe, APT could potentially enhance its liquidity and create new use cases. Support from YZi Labs enhances Ethena's credibility, potentially contributing to the stabilization of the overall cryptocurrency market, which could be a positive factor for platforms like APT. ・Arthur Hayes Suggests Crypto Will Enter 'Up Only' Mode When US Treasury General Account (TGA) Hits $850 Billion The view that US fiscal policy, particularly the concentration of funds in the TGA, impacts liquidity supply to the crypto market suggests the potential influence of macroeconomic factors on the crypto market. A scenario where achieving the TGA target leads to a liquidity injection that boosts the overall market could positively impact many cryptocurrencies, including APT. However, the timing and extent of this scenario's impact require careful assessment in conjunction with other economic indicators. ・Analysts Predict Bitcoin Acceleration as World Heads Towards the 'Fourth Turning' Macroeconomic structural shifts, coupled with rising expectations for Bitcoin, are factors increasing overall interest in the cryptocurrency market. APT, by capitalizing on such broad market growth trends, could potentially attract greater investor attention. Amid growing distrust in traditional financial systems, a shift towards decentralized assets could serve as a tailwind for projects like APT. ・Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Hits New ATH Amid Concerns Over Centralization The record high in Bitcoin's mining difficulty indicates increased network security and hashrate, but also raises concerns about the concentration of mining power. While APT is not directly involved in mining, network decentralization and security form the foundation of the platform's overall reliability. Concerns regarding the health of the Bitcoin network could potentially spur interest in alternative decentralized solutions, possibly creating indirect opportunities for projects like APT. Overall Summary The cryptocurrency market is experiencing sector-specific growth and increasing interest in decentralized solutions, driven by multiple factors including large-scale investments in AI infrastructure, BNB's standalone rally, and enhanced privacy regulations in the EU. Macroeconomic trends, particularly US fiscal policy and global economic structural changes, continue to influence overall market liquidity and investor sentiment. Therefore, it is crucial for projects like APT to monitor these external factors while focusing on enhancing their platform's value and expanding its use cases.

The primary downside risk remains regulatory uncertainty. The potential for AI and Web3 related use cases to fail in achieving widespread adoption as anticipated also constitutes a risk factor. A key support level is located around the recent low of $4; a break below this level would likely intensify downside pressure.

In the short term, consolidation within the current range is expected to continue. Medium-term prospects suggest that advancements in the AI and DeFi sectors, coupled with a favorable macroeconomic shift, could act as catalysts, potentially forming an upward trend. Developments in EU privacy regulations and the movement of TGA balances will be closely watched.

The APT market exhibits positive signs driven by AI and Web3 advancements and expectations of easing macro liquidity. However, persistent regulatory uncertainty maintains a neutral sentiment. Technical indicators lack clear directional signals, with price action consolidating narrowly around the $5 mark. While significant medium-term upside potential exists, key catalysts include regulatory developments and the shift towards Web3, potentially accelerated by stricter EU privacy regulations. Our investment strategy recommends accumulating positions in small increments, using the $4 level as support. A decisive break above $5 could target $5.50, but a breach below $4 warrants strict stop-loss measures, considering the downside risk towards $3.50. Key tactical points this week are accumulating near $4, adding to positions on a confirmed $5 breakout, and taking profits at $5.50. For risk management, closely monitoring regulatory trends and platform user acquisition is crucial. Capitalizing on the long-term trends of decentralization and privacy protection will be key to capturing APT's potential growth.